MARKET INSIGHT QUARTERLY
Global Portfolio Strategy | February 07, 2024
Stocks started 2024 off on a positive note with gains in January and early February, a positive signal for potential gains over the rest of the year. Returns were driven by increasing investor confidence in a soft landing,…
CLIENT LETTER | February 07, 2024
Dear Valued Investor, Stocks are off to a solid start in 2024. January gains are particularly enjoyable because of the old adage from the Stock Trader’s Almanac, “As goes January, so goes the year.” Nearly 75 years of historical data shows that when the S&P 500...
Will The January Barometer Come Through? | Weekly Market Commentary | February 5, 2024
Yale Hirsch, creator of the “Stock Trader’s Almanac”, first discovered this seasonal pattern back in 1972, which he called the January Barometer and coined its popular tagline of ‘As goes January, so goes this year.’ Here, we assess the likelihood that this popular stock market adage delivers more gains for investors this year. The weight of the evidence leans toward yes, as we explain.
Is Too Much Optimism Priced In? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 29, 2024
On traditional valuation measures, valuations do appear high and it does seem reasonable to expect more moderate stock market returns going forward. Here we walk through several different stock valuation approaches to get a more complete picture and even make the case that they aren’t as pricey as they look.
Will Shipping Disruptions Alter Fed Plans? | Weekly Market Commentary | January 22, 2024
Shipping disruptions in the Red Sea could temporarily impact goods prices but not at the same magnitude as during the pandemic. Tight financial conditions, slowing economic growth, and a disinflationary trend all support the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) pivot away from tightening monetary policy to easing in the new year. Despite these longer term trends, rates possibly got ahead of themselves in recent weeks, exhibiting higher volatility.